New Zealand First in the polls
New Zealand First is currently polling at an average of 10.0%, across the most recent poll from each pollster active in the last twelve months. The newest of those polls is Freshwater Strategy's, on 3 November 2026. That is a gain of 3.9 points since the last general election result. Over the last 3 months that is a rise of 0.5 points. Over the last 6 months that is a fall of 0.9 points. Over the last 12 months that is a rise of 1.7 points. The polling average stood highest at 11.9% in 2026 and lowest at 1.0% in 2009. Its best election result was 8.7% in 2014, its worst 2.6% in 2020. The next election is 2026 general election on 7 November 2026, in 1 day.
Share over time
| Pollster | Share (%) | Date |
|---|---|---|
| Roy Morgan | 10.0% | 2026-10-25 |
| Curia | 9.8% | 2026-11-03 |
| Verian | 8.4% | 2026-11-02 |
| Anacta | 10.0% | 2026-10-10 |
| Reid Research | 9.9% | 2026-10-26 |
| Freshwater Strategy | 12.0% | 2026-11-03 |
| DigiPoll | 5.7% | 2015-12-14 |
| Ipsos | 6.6% | 2014-09-17 |
| Research International | 4.0% | 2011-11-21 |
| Horizon Research | 5.3% | 2023-05-17 |
| Essential Research | 8.2% | 2023-10-08 |
| YouGov | 8.0% | 2019-11-11 |
| Bauer Media Insights | 8.9% | 2017-09-05 |
| SSI | 11.0% | 2017-09-06 |
| 2023 general election | 6.1% | 2023-10-14 |