Polls from Essential Research
Essential Research published polls from 2023 onwards, 3 in total; the last was on 8 October 2023. The next election is 2026 general election on 7 November 2026, in 1 day.
Parties
| Pollster | Share (%) | Date |
|---|---|---|
| NAT | 34.0% | 2023-10-08 |
| LAB | 30.3% | 2023-10-08 |
| GRN | 10.6% | 2023-10-08 |
| NZF | 8.2% | 2023-10-08 |
| ACT | 7.9% | 2023-10-08 |
| TPM | 1.9% | 2023-10-08 |
Coalitions
No polls available yet.
Accuracy at past elections
Too few elections scored so far for an average: 1 of 3. The individual elections are below.
Per election
| Election | Final poll | Days before | Parties scored | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 general election | 2023-10-08 | 6 | 6 | 2.1 percentage points |
How this is measured: for each past election we take each pollster’s last poll in the 30 days before polling day and compare it, party by party, with the result. The figure is the mean absolute difference across the parties that appear in both. Only parties the pollster actually reported are counted. A late shift in opinion is not the same thing as a polling error.